A solar flare is supposed to hit earth today...

Jem

TCS Member
Thread starter
Top Cat
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
5,601
Purraise
11,288

Willowy

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Mar 1, 2009
Messages
31,899
Purraise
28,311
Location
South Dakota
Every time I see that in the news, I look for the aurora. . .haven't seen it yet! :mad2:
(Well, once, maybe 25 years ago.)

My dad has some big theories about the end of civilization due to power grid disruptions but idk, humans have survived far worse.
 
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #5

Jem

TCS Member
Thread starter
Top Cat
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
5,601
Purraise
11,288
They say the aurora could be seen as far down as New York, but possibly further. They are predicting a Kp=4, so If you look at this chart you might be able to tell if you might see them.
1633994346002.png
 
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #6

Jem

TCS Member
Thread starter
Top Cat
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
5,601
Purraise
11,288
It's pretty cloudy around here, so I think I'm out of luck to see them...
 
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #7

Jem

TCS Member
Thread starter
Top Cat
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
5,601
Purraise
11,288
G2 Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued for Earth for October 11

Here's alink to what they say could happen when it comes to power grid and satellite disruptions. The concentration of the flair is supposed to hit...."The Space Weather Prediction Center says the area of impact will focus primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude."....whatever that means????
 

Talien

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Oct 10, 2018
Messages
2,650
Purraise
5,132
Location
Michigan
Too far north for me, it'd have to be a KP6 or 7 for me to see it.

Hmm. Hope this doesn't turn into another Carrington Event.

Carrington Event - Wikipedia

This was similar to the one that just occurred in 1859 which gravely disrupted our then primitive electrical grid. Are we protected today? Or are we a planet full of sitting ducks?
Nope, we'd be SOL. It's well known that the electrical grid is badly in need of an upgrade to protect against things like that. A CME like that one hitting us today would wreck it. Telegraph lines bursting into flames was bad enough back then, but imagine today with high tension lines torching off and transformers exploding everywhere like you see in movies. Some people even suspect that substations might blow.
 

Willowy

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Mar 1, 2009
Messages
31,899
Purraise
28,311
Location
South Dakota
Here's the prediction for tonight. It does swoop into northern SD, maybe I'll be able to see something low on the horizon. I might go for a little drive before bed (I can't see N from my house due to the shelterbelt).
NorthAmerica_6.png
 

MonaLyssa33

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Mar 10, 2018
Messages
3,591
Purraise
9,518
Location
Minneapolis
My dad lives an hour north of Minneapolis and in the middle of nowhere, so I texted him to see if he's able to see anything tonight.
 
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #11

Jem

TCS Member
Thread starter
Top Cat
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
5,601
Purraise
11,288
They say the best time to see them is between 9-11pm and then again around 2am.
 

vince

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Jul 23, 2017
Messages
2,172
Purraise
3,540
Location
metro Detroit
Went and looked north (42 degrees north latitude). It's clear, but I didn't see anything yet. Will look again a little later.
 

Willowy

TCS Member
Top Cat
Joined
Mar 1, 2009
Messages
31,899
Purraise
28,311
Location
South Dakota
I went and looked, didn't really see anything, although it maybe looked a little lighter than it should have; since it's not cloudy and not humid, there really shouldn't be a lot for the lights to bounce off. So I took a picture with night mode, and. . .maybe? (This is way brighter than what I saw. It's DARK out there!)
20211011_230614.jpg


Not the most impressive display but cool.
 
Top