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Republican primaries 2012

Poll Results: Who would/will you vote for in the Republican primary?

 
  • 10% (2)
    Mitt Romney
  • 15% (3)
    Rick Santorum
  • 5% (1)
    Newt Gingrich
  • 5% (1)
    Ron Paul
  • 10% (2)
    Other
  • 52% (10)
    None, I'm not a Republican/conservative!
19 Total Votes  
post #1 of 27
Thread Starter 
I'm a Democrat, so this election season is high entertainment. laughing02.gif

To summarize:

Mitt Romney, considered by the media and the voters so far to be the front-runner, has won three states: New Hampshire, Florida, and Nevada. This gives him 91 delegates. He's still in the lead, but it's narrowing.

Rick Santorum, previously in third place, has won 3 states as of last night: Iowa (after a recount), Colorado, and Minnesota. This gives him 68 delegates. He overtook Newt Gingrich as the media's second-place. He also won a nonbinding primary in Missouri, but this doesn't count towards his delegate total.

Newt Gingrich has only won South Carolina and has 29 delegates.

Ron Paul has won no state outright, but still has 8 delegates. He showed a surprisingly strong finish last night in Minnesota, with nearly 30% of the vote.

You need 1,144 delegates to win the Republican nomination this year, so it's still looking like a three-way race to me. The front-runner, whoever it turns out to be, should be apparent around May or so. My money's still on Romney for the final nomination.

I'm so sad Rick Perry dropped out though. I know he was a long shot to begin with, but I SO wanted to watch him debate the President. laughing02.gif He was my favorite one.
post #2 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by speakhandsforme View Post

I'm a Democrat, so this election season is high entertainment. laughing02.gif
To summarize:
Mitt Romney, considered by the media and the voters so far to be the front-runner, has won three states: New Hampshire, Florida, and Nevada. This gives him 91 delegates. He's still in the lead, but it's narrowing.
Rick Santorum, previously in third place, has won 3 states as of last night: Iowa (after a recount), Colorado, and Minnesota. This gives him 68 delegates. He overtook Newt Gingrich as the media's second-place. He also won a nonbinding primary in Missouri, but this doesn't count towards his delegate total.
Newt Gingrich has only won South Carolina and has 29 delegates.
Ron Paul has won no state outright, but still has 8 delegates. He showed a surprisingly strong finish last night in Minnesota, with nearly 30% of the vote.
You need 1,144 delegates to win the Republican nomination this year, so it's still looking like a three-way race to me. The front-runner, whoever it turns out to be, should be apparent around May or so. My money's still on Romney for the final nomination.
I'm so sad Rick Perry dropped out though. I know he was a long shot to begin with, but I SO wanted to watch him debate the President. laughing02.gif He was my favorite one.

yeah.gif

I'm a Democrat as well, and extremely liberal, and have nothing to add to your post. biggrin.gif
post #3 of 27
Thread Starter 
So far, no votes for Romney or Gingrich! Hmm, seems TCSers don't like the establishment/designated front-runner candidates this season.
post #4 of 27

I guess the good news for us liberals is that the GOP insists on churning out candidates who are over-the-top right-wing-religious-conservative. laughing02.gif

 

Rick Perry is a nutjob. Santorum is a nutjob. Ron Paul is a nutjob. Gingrich is a hypocrite. I've felt for a while that the nom will probably go to Romney, which is a little scary since he's probably the least repulsive of all the candidates, but I think his being a Mormon won't sit well with the majority of GOP voters.

post #5 of 27
I was considering changing my voter registration to Republican just so I could vote for a GOP candidate in my home state's closed primary, but somehow I can't take any of the candidates seriously, with the possible exception of Romney. He seemed like an old-fashioned moderate Republican till he started changing some of his stances to appeal to right-wingers.rolleyes-2.gif
post #6 of 27

As an independent, I'm watching both sides with some interest.

 

I must say that if the media treated candidate Obama the same way they treat the Republican candidates, he would have looked like a nut job, too.  Refusing to vote on stuff in the Illinois legislature?  Attending a radical anti-white church?  Only 18 months of less-than-impressive experience in the US Senate?  See, it's all in how you look at it.

 

Gingrich will not be the nominee, and he knows it.  Ron Paul will not be the nominee, and he knew that before he ever started, by his own admission.  Rick Perry is perfect for Texas; the governor's position in Texas is very weak, and he fills it quite well.  Both Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney could run successfully as Democrats (proven by the fact that both were elected in states that are heavily Democratic), and they are doing what candidate Obama did--they are trying to appeal to the part of the party that can be depended on to go to the polls in the primaries.  After the convention, the nominee will run a lot closer to the center, which, by the way, is where "average" in the US is, just a little to the right of center.

post #7 of 27

I will vote for Santorum or Romney in the primary. I was a big Cain fan. But that is what it is. I would have loved to see Cain Debate Obama. THAT would have been great-Cain is a great speaker and a very smart man. Which is probably why he was targeted so early on. 

 

I think this thread was probably an attempt to bash Republicans, as if someone started a thread bashing liberals or Obama, all heck would break loose. 

post #8 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by resqchick View Post

 

 

I think this thread was probably an attempt to bash Republicans, as if someone started a thread bashing liberals or Obama, all heck would break loose. 


Seriously, there have been plenty of those.
 

 

post #9 of 27
I'm not bashing any of them right now. I'm just enjoying the show for now - I've been making bowls of popcorn and watching the debates. I'll hold my bashing until one of them is announced as the final republican candidate.

I heard talk this morning about the GOP wanting to walk away from all of the current candidates and go for a new one. It's all very interesting.
post #10 of 27
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rockcat View Post


Quote:
Originally Posted by resqchick View Post

I think this thread was probably an attempt to bash Republicans, as if someone started a thread bashing liberals or Obama, all heck would break loose. 


Seriously, there have been plenty of those.

 

Yeah, like this one. biggrin.gif
post #11 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by Momofmany View Post

I heard talk this morning about the GOP wanting to walk away from all of the current candidates and go for a new one. It's all very interesting.


Not going to happen, I think.  Romney and Santorum have put a lot of money, time, and effort in the race, and they deserve to be supported for their work.  And they will be.

 

 

 

post #12 of 27
A WSJ editorial: Democrats Are Praying for a Santorum Nomination
Quote:
It's not only that a certain body of Santorum pronouncements on social issues exists, and that they're of a sort that large sectors of the American electorate find unpalatable, to put it mildly. Or that he continues to add to them.

By the time Democratic researchers apply themselves to this compendium of Mr. Santorum's views—in the unlikely event that he becomes the Republican nominee—it's size will have doubled, at the least. The Republicans have already provided President Obama with high-value gifts this election year, but none nearly as delectable as the prospect of a run against Mr. Santorum.

Not very flattering, is it? The WSJ can hardly be accused of being "liberal media".
post #13 of 27
Thread Starter 
Unflattering, but they're right. agree.gif The hardline Republicans may like him more than Romney, but even if he gets the nomination, he doesn't stand a chance against the president.
post #14 of 27
He's just gotten blasted again in Forbes, again not what you'd call a hotbed of liberal sentiment: Rick Santorum's Despicable And Hurtful Health Care Lie
post #15 of 27

Well, let's be upfront about this.  The Republican hierarchy, which is probably closer to the center than the Democratic hierarchy, does not like Santorum.  I suspect they'd agree with the sentiments expressed by most Democrats about Santorum.  On the other hand, as he admits, his voting record is pretty close to the middle, too.

 

It's easy to forget that campaigning for office is not the same as holding an office.  Our Presidents, from Washington to today, have found that the actual exigencies of governing don't allow for the idealistic statements they made when campaigning.  That's why Guantanamo Bay is still open, the Patriot Act was reauthorized, there is no single-payer health insurance program, and drone attacks are way up.  What Mr. Obama said, what candidate Obama said, doesn't stand up well when he's the man getting the daily briefings on the real threats, the political realities are staring him in the face, and his party is unable to hold the legislature.

 

He shouldn't feel alone, of course.  Jefferson had the same problems.

 

All this is to say that, while Mr. Santorum may express ideas many feel are abhorrent, he would likely make a perfectly acceptable President.  In fact, I suspect after a couple of months of turmoil, so would Ron Paul.  That, or he'd end up impeached and imprisoned for treason.

 

When you look at these guys through the prism of history, none of them are all that shocking.

post #16 of 27
Thread Starter 
I disagree about the Republican hierarchy being closer to the center than the Democrat hierarchy (I personally think it's the other way around), BUT otherwise you're right.

I think they dislike Santorum for two reasons: 1. Because he's in reality more moderate than what his campaign would have you believe, and 2. Because his campaign is in reality more extreme than his voting record would have you believe. laughing02.gif Thus, he can neither win the general election nor govern to a degree of conservatism that they'd like. They also dislike Mitt Romney for the first reason.

Speaking of campaign vs. tenure, let's not forget that FDR, widely regarded as a game-changer for the office of the presidency, campaigned on the exact opposite of what he did once he got into office.
post #17 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by speakhandsforme View Post

I disagree about the Republican hierarchy being closer to the center than the Democrat hierarchy (I personally think it's the other way around), BUT otherwise you're right.

Of course, you do.  That's called our own bias.  It's why NPR makes fun of Fox, and Fox makes fun of NPR, and everyone makes fun of MSNBC.

 

Keep in mind, however, that I said the hierarchy.  I didn't say the party activists, or the wing nuts, in either party.

 

Yes, FDR campaigned as an anti-war isolationist.

 

And JFK cut taxes dramatically for the rich.

 

Eisenhower was asked to run for President by both parties.

 

And Truman, when he left office, was massively unpopular, had a southern accent that was ridiculed by many, was considered too stupid to be President, and got the US involved in an Asian war that he was unable to get us out of and that killed some 35,000 Americans and injured something like 5 times that.

 

As I said, campaigning and governing, and then how the history professors write the history books, are often 3 very different things.

 

post #18 of 27
Thread Starter 
That's true. I was also talking about FDR's economic policies. He campaigned to roll back the timid government anti-Depression intervention that Hoover had put in place. laughing02.gif
post #19 of 27

Frankly whichever one is the candidate, I will vote for him.

post #20 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by Momofmany View Post

I'm not bashing any of them right now. I'm just enjoying the show for now - I've been making bowls of popcorn and watching the debates. I'll hold my bashing until one of them is announced as the final republican candidate.
I heard talk this morning about the GOP wanting to walk away from all of the current candidates and go for a new one. It's all very interesting.

flail.gif I think they better flail.gif These candidates are making Obama look awesome just about now - He doesn't even need to campaign laughing02.gif I am loving it crackup.gif
post #21 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carolina View Post


:flail: I think they better :flail: These candidates are making Obama look awesome just about now - He doesn't even need to campaign :lol3: I am loving it :crackup:

However, keep in mind how bad the President and Hillary Clinton were making each other look about 4 years ago, before you count any chickens...or votes.

 

My guess is that the rise in gas prices and a surge in unemployment are going to hit in about 3 months.  Under those circumstances, it might take a miracle for the President to be re-elected.
 

 

post #22 of 27
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrblanche View Post

However, keep in mind how bad the President and Hillary Clinton were making each other look about 4 years ago, before you count any chickens...or votes.

My guess is that the rise in gas prices and a surge in unemployment are going to hit in about 3 months.  Under those circumstances, it might take a miracle for the President to be re-elected.

 

We will see............
post #23 of 27

I like Romney :)

 

Go romney....

post #24 of 27

As has been the case for a number of cycles I don't care for any of them that are running. I voted for Obama last time but after two years of the Obama/Pelosi team I am finished with him. I know he had one of the most liberal voting records of any legislator but I didn't think he would allow himself to be taken so far to the left by Pelosi. I also don't care for any of the Republicans so I probably just won't vote. Congress has become so partisan it is completely dysfunctional so I don't think it matters who is President. I know that we are very close to a day of reckoning over the huge deficit. It has come throughout Europe but we continue to rack up debt. This huge debt will be a continual drag on the economy and weaken the dollar.

post #25 of 27
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Denice View Post

I voted for Obama last time but after two years of the Obama/Pelosi team I am finished with him. I know he had one of the most liberal voting records of any legislator but I didn't think he would allow himself to be taken so far to the left by Pelosi.

At the risk of derailing the thread, Obama hasn't been all that liberal. In fact, he's been far less liberal than his supporters in 2008 (me) would have liked.

Here's a Washington Post article on the subject... and they're not exactly a bastion of the "liberal media." There are many other similar stories out there.
post #26 of 27

Obama is very liberal, just as the Republicans claim to be very conservative.  But, fortunately for all of us, neither can govern the way they might like to, unless they want to totally lose the next election, because that's just not where the country is, on average.

 

I was disappointed the President didn't propose a single-payer health plan.  Had he done it immediately after his election, I suspect he would have gotten it.  Instead, he futzed around with letting the Democrats in Congress write the bill, and NO bold step comes about that way.

 

And, just to be sure the knife is twisted in everyone, Ron Paul would not be able to govern in anything close to the Libertarian fashion he would like to, if he were elected.  How do I know this?  Because Congress has passed exactly one bill he wrote or sponsored, since he came to Congress, out of the 600+ he's been associated with.

post #27 of 27

Well- I'd be more motivated to vote today, if it not was for the state I live in.  But- I live in VA, and as you all know- 2 of the candidates didn't even make it onto the ballot.  argh2.gif

So I don't even know if it's worth going out there or not, since I'm not a fan of either Romney or Paul.

 

But then again- DD just got her voter's registration in the mail (her AP Government teacher was getting the kids excited about it) so maybe I should just go over to the polling place with DD when she gets home from school. 

 

I honestly don't like any of them.  Nor do I like President Obama.  2 of the candidates I did like (and feel free to debate laughing02.gif  I can take it) the CEO of Godfather's Pizza and Michelle Bachman- are both gone sigh.gif

Cheryl

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