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Kim Jong-il Dead

post #1 of 9
Thread Starter 

I'm surprised no one has made a thread about this yet. What do you think will happen now that Kim Jong-il has died? Will his son continue to keep things like they are, will there be a revolution?

 

If you are in North Korea (which I assume is unlikely), remember that singing and dancing is forbidden until Dec 29th.

post #2 of 9

Thanks, I hadn't heard yet! clap.gif

 

But to answer the question; Nothing, he has an heir and his party is firmly in power to assure that "Best Korea" maintains the status quo.   There isn't a big enough power vacuum or any strength behind anti-government forces that I'm aware of to improve the lot of the N.Koreans.     If they weren't fed such a steady diet of propaganda and had access to internet/international news, they'd otherwise surely be irked by how prosperous S.Korea has become while they regularly face starvation.

 

post #3 of 9
A lot of people expected changes when his father died, and they never materialized, so who knows?

Analysis: N.Korea leadership struggle would bring wider risks
Quote:
In the short term, international worries over North Korea following the death of Kim Jong-il centre on a potential domestic leadership struggle that could heighten the risk of renewed conflict on the peninsula.

In the much longer run, however, the death could also usher in a quite different challenge: the hugely expensive task of reunifying Korea and reintegrating the world's most isolated state into the global economy.

A new Kim in North Korea requires even more US deterrence
Quote:
Similar conditions of weakness pushed the Kim dynasty in the past to provoke conflict as a way to tighten its grip and gain concessions from the United States or South Korea. If that pattern of lashing out continues, the US and its allies must maintain the same patience, restraint, and strength that has successfully bottled up a volatile North Korea since the end of the Korean War in 1953.

Just as steely deterrence won the cold war, Americans cannot let North Korea make good on threats against South Korea or export nuclear and missile technology. But neither can the US use military means for regime change, as it did in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya over the past decade.
post #4 of 9

 

Quote:
In the much longer run, however, the death could also usher in a quite different challenge: the hugely expensive task of reunifying Korea and reintegrating the world's most isolated state into the global economy.

Expensive for whom?  Not for me as an American I would hope, as Korea is not a state in the union last I checked so let Korea worry about Koreans.   Uniting Korea is their challenge, and only if South Korea wants it, which they probably do not want.

 

Imagine how heavily S.Koreans would have to be taxed to support impoverished socialists with a totally different culture than them at this point.   The South culture is high-tech big time capitalists with the fastest network on the entire planet right now (yup puts the US and all European countries and blows Japan away), professional video gaming is as big as football in the United States, and J-pop and commercialism that damn near puts Japan to shame.

 

And let us not forget that it was North Korea that attacked South Koreans in the first place, so I can't imagine South Koreans would be like "oh yes, let us unite and here take half my paycheck ya commies".   If there was a cultural divide between the industrialized North and agricultural South that even resulted in a civil war here in the United States, its ten times worse now with North and South Korea.  

post #5 of 9
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ducman69 View Post

Thanks, I hadn't heard yet! clap.gif

 

But to answer the question; Nothing, he has an heir and his party is firmly in power to assure that "Best Korea" maintains the status quo.   There isn't a big enough power vacuum or any strength behind anti-government forces that I'm aware of to improve the lot of the N.Koreans.     If they weren't fed such a steady diet of propaganda and had access to internet/international news, they'd otherwise surely be irked by how prosperous S.Korea has become while they regularly face starvation.

 

There has been some speculations that his older son Kim Jong Nam would be put in charge by some military dudes, who are also supposed to be the ones Kim Jong-un should rely on if he has issues.. Can't remember the name of the certain military dude atm.

However they have already executed hundreds of people who they think might try to stop Kim Jong-un from taking over. (And apparently he was the one behind the attacks to South Korea).
 

 

post #6 of 9

Well I hope this new leader will have some kind of positive change to the koreas. I mean he brainwashed children thinking he's a god. It's all messed up.....

post #7 of 9

Well, Kim deserves a little tribute video... 

 

post #8 of 9
Quote:
Originally Posted by konstargirl View Post

Well I hope this new leader will have some kind of positive change to the koreas. I mean he brainwashed children thinking he's a god. It's all messed up.....



Unfortunately, his son is taking over, and from what the news stations are saying he's just as bad, if not worse, than his father. I'm taking a wait and see and hope for the best approach. 

post #9 of 9
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ducman69 View Post

Well, Kim deserves a little tribute video... 

 


That was AWESOME!!! 

 

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