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Iran - Earthquake or Nuclear Test

post #1 of 6
11/1/08 at 8:13pm
Thread Starter 
You be the judge.

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/128151

Quote:
(IsraelNN.com) A weekend 5.0 Richter earthquake in Iran was actually a nuclear bomb test, says an Iranian nuclear scientist claiming to be working on the project.

The Israel Insider source reports that two nuclear rockets are currently ready - and are intended for use against Israel in the coming months.
Is this what Joe Biden was talking about? If so, who should be President when this happens?
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post #2 of 6
11/1/08 at 8:17pm
I say us not coming to their aid would be the "questioning his decision" possibly.
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post #3 of 6
11/1/08 at 8:43pm
A seismologist could tell from records whether or not an earthquake is actually an earthquake. The seismic monitoring does not necessarily need to come from within Iran. I really wouldn't take the word of a nuclear scientist on this one... and I would love to see a seismologist's opinion. Iran is quite seismically active, and it's fairly common for earthquakes to occur in close spatial and temporal proximity. What's more, I highly doubt that if a scientist were working on something like this, he would come forward to the Israeli press about it. Scientists working on classified projects... not under strict security? I don't think so. So... coming from a scientist, I would say that the arguments presented in this article are extremely speculative.
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post #4 of 6
11/2/08 at 6:42am
Yeah, I'd have to say there were a number of things about that report that were suspect.
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post #5 of 6
11/2/08 at 10:49am
Thread Starter 
You mean it may be like Sadaam insinuating he has WMD?

That didn't work out to well for him.
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post #6 of 6
11/3/08 at 3:11pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrblanche View Post
Yeah, I'd have to say there were a number of things about that report that were suspect.
http://formerspook.blogspot.com/2008...lear-test.html

Part of the article:
Quote:
At this point, there is little evidence to corroborate the report. The coastal region where the quakes occurred is hundreds of miles from Iranian range complexes where a nuclear weapon might eventually be tested. Additionally, the referenced site is easily monitored by U.S. intelligence assets, including WC-135 CONSTANT PHOENIX aircraft. So far, there's been no report of a recent WC-135 deployment to the Persian Gulf region.

Additionally, if Iran had successfully conducted a nuclear test, there would have been an announcement from Tehran. Iran's acquisition of nuclear weapons is a "game changer" in the Middle East, and Tehran would have little reason to conceal the news. Indeed, the announcement might actually lessen the chances of an Israeli attack, since a test would indicate that Iran had mastered all stages of nuclear development. It would also mean that prospects for successfully derailing the program had all but vanished.

There is also reason to believe that Iranian preparations for a test would be detected by western intelligence agencies. An underground nuclear blast is (typically) preceded by extensive tunneling work; the deployment of test vans and other monitoring equipment; the installation of required cabling, and heightened security at the site--measures that are often detected by satellites and SIGINT assets, among other sources.
However, they continue to pursue nuclear goals: Iran tests ways of recovering weapons-grade uranium from spent nuclear fuel October 31, 2008, 10:20 AM (GMT+02:00) at Debka.com

Laurie
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