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Please excuse me if another exists.

Atonement has won the GG as best picture of the year.

Usually, the academy will follow. So, it would be foolhardy to think that Atonement will not win the Academy best picture right? Or Wrong.

Personally, I liked the Kite Runner the best. It was the biggest selling book of the year. BUT The Davinci Code was such a huge hit in books but won nothing.

OK, I feel very strongly that Atonement will win. BUT I am looking for a major upset this year. Because there has been an upset the last four or so years.