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The weather forcasters are idiots!

post #1 of 14
Thread Starter 
OK, I really shouldn't complain too much. It's just been the past couple of weeks that they messed up. First they said it was going to snow last Friday. Not even a hint where I live.

The forcast for today was "Flurries developing in the evening, 1-3" overnight with heavier accumulations in the foothills and south of Denver." OK, it was snowing when I woke up. Revised in the morning to, "Snow this morning but clearing this afternoon and snow reforming this evening. 1-3" total." By the time I went home for lunch we had a good 6" on the car. But the revised forcast (at noon) said 7" total for western suburbs, still 1-3" for the main Denver-Metro area. Riiiiiiiiiight!
post #2 of 14
I really did like the storm last Friday - it was sunny, beautiful and warm all day. They have never been able to forecast snow here. Something about the mountains intimidate them.
post #3 of 14
I agree that the forecasters are ...something.....

But, we're probably the idiots, because we keep falling for their lies!

There must be some rule that forecasters only have to be correct 10 percent of the time in order to keep their jobs.
post #4 of 14
I find here when they warn about a big storm, there is a tiny storm..but when they don't warn us...we get slammed with 3 feet of snow
post #5 of 14
Around here, when they say 30% chance of snow, you wonder whether that means 30% of the metro will be covered, or it will snow 30% of the time, or there is really a 30% chance.
post #6 of 14
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trouts mom View Post
I find here when they warn about a big storm, there is a tiny storm..but when they don't warn us...we get slammed with 3 feet of snow
Yup - tomorrow should be interesting! Supposed to get snow in the afternoon, followed by ice pellets and freezing rain continuing on into Friday, with 60 kph winds. I guess we'll see!
post #7 of 14
Where we live, WHATEVER the storm is, it's always "....and North and West of the City...." (meaning New York) - fill in the blank - more rain than everywhere else, colder, more snow, more ice ..... and as Gary explains to people, when the forecasters say "...and north and west of the city..." - they mean OUR house!

There have been a lot of forecasts for snow that didn't happen this year. But we don't have TV anymore, so we don't have to listen to it! We just read the mistakes at weather.com.

Laurie
post #8 of 14
Quote:
Originally Posted by Momofmany View Post
Around here, when they say 30% chance of snow, you wonder whether that means 30% of the metro will be covered, or it will snow 30% of the time, or there is really a 30% chance.
When the weather forecasters say 30% chance or 80% chance, what this means is this. During the last "x" many years, "x" usually the amount of time they have been keeping records, when the conditions were the same, it rained, snowed or whatever, 30% or 80% of the time. So, they look at their maps, satellite images, wind flow and so on. If the last time they had the same observations it snowed 60% of the time, they predict that you will have a 60% chance of getting snow. This percent chance, does not indicate how much rain or snow you will have, just what percent chance you will have at getting any precipitation. At 30% chance, you could get 6 inches of snow and at 80% chance, you could just get a brief flurry. I hope this helps make things a little less confusing
post #9 of 14
It's very rare that they nail the forcast! lol
post #10 of 14
My boss obsessively follows the forecast. I always tease him because it changes so often. He loves to follow the 2-week forecast. From day to day it'll COMPLETELY change. Why bother putting together a forecast if you can't actually predict that far in advance? Some things are just beyond me I guess...
post #11 of 14
As far as forecasts, my boss makes us print forecasts for cities right beside each other even though there is only one weather station so they always say the exact same thing!

And the weatherman changes his mind too much to pay attention to. We were supposed to get freezing rain and winds of 60km/hr tomorrow, now it says 10-15cm of snow daytime and 15mm of freezing rain in the evening and winds of 35km/hr

and we are right on the lake while the weather station is more in land so it is never right anyway! It can be raining / snowing / whatever here and sunny 5-10 mins away
post #12 of 14
Hummm last night they said flurries and maybe a few inches....lol.. I woke to 8 inches ( i dont have a snow blower )... tomarrow was supposed to be clear ... one says chance of flurries other one says 1 to 2 inches ....
post #13 of 14
A couple of years ago I went with garden club to the local NOAA weather station (BTW they are usually be airports) The meterologist said the weather while predicted out for 7 days the farther out the forecast the less accurate. The chance of that 7th day being correct is 50%!!
It was funny on the local TV station this morning as the weather was showing up as potentially rain about 50 miles south but he wasn't sure so he wanted people from that area to call and let him know what it was really doing!!
I have found that NOAA.gov website to be pretty accurate.
post #14 of 14
Our weather is very sporadic but they're usually somewhat correct here. When they say it will be warm, it's hot. It's almost always windy, so no one can go wrong on that prediction. The winter storms tend to be over exaggerated, at least for some parts of the state.
But despite this they have saved many lives Soon it will be tornado season here again...
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